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Ammo Shortage 2026: Current Status, Causes & Which Calibers Are Hit

March 18, 2026

Yes — there is an ammo shortage in 2026, but it is narrower and milder than the 2020–2022 crisis. The squeeze is concentrated in high-volume defensive calibers: 9mm, 5.56/.223, and .22 LR are the first to thin out, driven by military and law-enforcement contracts pulling factory capacity, a smokeless-powder bottleneck, and 35% tariffs on imported...

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